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- DATE: JAN. 24, 1991 18:03 REPORT: 2
- TO: SPL
- FOR:
- CC:
- BUREAU: MIDWEST
- BY: NASH
- IN:
- SLUG: ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
-
- Anthrax, as British experts can attest, is pretty
- horrible stuff. Not only is it deadly, but anthrax spores
- can survive in the soil for many, many years.
-
- But before becoming hysterial about anthrax in Iraqi
- hands, we will do well to ask a question: just what makes
- anyone sure that the Iraqis possess biological weapons of
- any type?
-
- "There are uncertainties about these charges," cautions
- University of Michigan science historian Susan Wright,
- editor of a recently published book, "Preventing a
- Biological Arms Race."
-
- The experience with Yellow Rain in Indochina, widely
- touted by the CIA as a Soviet-made biological toxin,
- serves as a caution. Yellow rain turned out to be, in
- Wright's words, "the innocuous excrement of honeybees."
- If the Iraqis have truly been developing biological
- weapons, why hasn't the U.S. lodged a formal protest?
-
- Besides, she notes, the tactical usefulness of
- biologicals in a military conflict (as opposed to covert
- action) is questionable.
-
- "Biologicals have always been viewed as unreliable to
- use, " says Wright. They are subject to climatic
- conditions, and the gravest problem is that they may
- rebound on the users, depending on which way the wind is
- blowing."
-
- Wright, for one, seriously doubts that biologicals pose
- a military or environmental threat in the Persian Gulf
- conflict.
-
- But about the future she is not so sanguine. The U.S.,
- she notes, stepped up its own activity in the area of
- biological weapons during the 1980s. While the efforts
- were billed as purely defensive, they did not play that
- way across the world stage, particularly in many smaller,
- less developed countries.
-
- The Mideast is a particular area of concern because so
- many nations there have not signed the Biological Weapons
- Convntion, among them Algeria, Egypt, Iraq, Israel,
- Sudan, Syria.
-
- Many Arab countries, in fact, consider biologicals as a
- possible counter to Israeli possession of nuclear
- weapons.
-
- But the threat of biological weapons is not confined
- solely to the Middle East. As suspicion grows that many
- countries are secretly developing biological weapons, the
- likelihood that many will do so in fact increases.
-
- "This could become a new kind of arms race eventually,"
- says Wright. "That's my concern."
-
- (FYI Wright emphatically does not want to be quoted in
- any way that would lend credence to the widely
- circulating rumors that Iraq either has or may use
- biological weapons.)
-
-